TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,467 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under45c10,650$4,795 inWon+$5,854.420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Over55c10,000$5,500 inLost-$5,5002050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c4,000$2,330 inWon+$1,669.718,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over55c899.99$495 inLost-$4951844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under77c511.36$392 inWon+$119.0117051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over38c360.12$137 inLost-$136.625635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over42c235$99 inLost-$98.738233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c235$136 inWon+$98.71,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over12c223.13$26 inLost-$26.279026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under59c220.69$131 inWon+$89.4146449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under59c197.73$117 inWon+$80.5533152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under45c160.84$72 inWon+$88.845457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under59c147.79$88 inWon+$59.9569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under54c122$65 inWon+$56.5372058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…9548backed Under64c109.85$70 inWon+$39.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Under52c106.83$56 inWon+$51.283240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under60c90$54 inWon+$3664633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Over40c90$36 inLost-$361330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under61c84.79$52 inWon+$33.2650656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under75c50$38 inWon+$12.2551945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under59c36.73$22 inWon+$14.9910458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under59c36.73$22 inWon+$14.994372.1%31 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf175…de7cbacked Under59c34.55$20 inWon+$14.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under64c31.99$20 inWon+$11.5889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over57c19$11 inLost-$10.8316845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.