TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,821 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c7,368$5,806 inWon+$1,561.852,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c4,958$1,062 inLost-$1,062.58,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over13c3,248$428 inLost-$428.485,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Over30c715.95$212 inLost-$211.753240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over3c393$13 inLost-$12.7825635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over19c387.83$75 inLost-$7564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac48…e505backed Over11c355.8$39 inLost-$39.143043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over24c259.2$62 inLost-$62.2746449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over27c256.77$69 inLost-$69.1219447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over25c204.24$51 inLost-$51.1933152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over24c172.81$42 inLost-$41.5269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4f…32e0backed Over7c171.63$11 inLost-$11.362339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Under73c163.23$119 inWon+$44.072161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon+$49.251973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Under73c137.12$100 inWon+$37.121931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over22c100$22 inLost-$2219053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over34c80.3$27 inLost-$27.371,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over24c78.12$19 inLost-$18.7450656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under64c69.3$44 inWon+$24.951,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3756…b936backed Over19c57.74$11 inLost-$10.971118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-71.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dfe…d954backed Over19c57.74$11 inLost-$10.971947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b4e…150cbacked Over22c55.5$12 inLost-$121747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under80c55$44 inWon+$1142462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Over20c55$11 inLost-$116426.6%17 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Under80c37.5$30 inWon+$7.52867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under73c16$12 inWon+$4.3221752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.