South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66d767be74daf013c675628ef0834052f8d44c216005a1a3a550fd97d15daeaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 22,639$16,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,210.18 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 14,574$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 5,292$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.88 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 4,103$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 36c | 3,213$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.69 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 45c | 2,146$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.63 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 1,630$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.5 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 4c | 1,211$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 40c | 614.63$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 25c | 537.17$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Over | 47c | 459.94$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 51c | 433.38$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 31c | 423.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 10c | 391.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Over | 18c | 387.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 34c | 366.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 64c | 268$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 45c | 222.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 214.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 12c | 143.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 67c | 139.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…4ebcbacked Over | 10c | 111.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 63c | 107.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 43c | 100.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 64c | 90.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 69c | 84.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 37c | 76.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 48c | 76.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 62c | 72.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 58c | 71.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 38c | 70.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 53c | 70.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 44c | 70.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 60c | 65.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 58.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 19c | 57.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 19c | 57.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 48c | 52.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 49c | 49.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 40c | 37.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 64c | 30.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Over | 58c | 21.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 64c | 17.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Under | 64c | 16.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 66c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5this page
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: CF América O/U 0.5Over won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: CF América O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna O/U 0.5Under won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna O/U 2.5Under won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)CF América won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)CF América won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.