Lol · resolved market
LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85edd4ae7c3684d1476150ce384b0f111a49e54bbc1865620895acdf9f750834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Banditsof mCon esports, The Bandits
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked The Bandits | 61c | 2,740$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.51 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked mCon esports | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed mCon esports | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed mCon esports | 35c | 945.66$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.33 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed The Bandits | 49c | 867.5$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.77 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed The Bandits | 68c | 797.7$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.13 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed mCon esports | 41c | 668.78$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.75 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked mCon esports | 68c | 570$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked mCon esports | 42c | 514.76$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.71 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked mCon esports | 36c | 439.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed The Bandits | 25c | 400$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.1 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked The Bandits | 56c | 274.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed mCon esports | 51c | 206.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked The Bandits | 64c | 206.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked mCon esports | 12c | 205.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed mCon esports | 37c | 204.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…55babacked The Bandits | 64c | 187.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed mCon esports | 35c | 162.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed mCon esports | 8c | 148.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed mCon esports | 33c | 146$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed mCon esports | 49c | 111.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked mCon esports | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed mCon esports | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed The Bandits | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed mCon esports | 64c | 78.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked The Bandits | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked The Bandits | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed The Bandits | 70c | 67.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 487 | 63.2%308 W · 179 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529a…4c1dbacked The Bandits | 41c | 50.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…5937backed The Bandits | 67c | 49.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked mCon esports | 35c | 43.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed The Bandits | 64c | 43.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed The Bandits | 70c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 465 | 62.4%290 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed mCon esports | 36c | 41.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed mCon esports | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 366 | 43.7%160 W · 206 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked mCon esports | 61c | 35.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed mCon esports | 35c | 30.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked The Bandits | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked The Bandits | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed The Bandits | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonThe Bandits won
- LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits - Game 2 WinnerThe Bandits won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.