Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f22de8c4e2e1d9c5f76650709f6e61785784fa1362e788b9e97d9cac3a79d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Valley Wolverinesof California Baptist Lancers, Utah Valley Wolverines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked California Baptist Lancers | 28c | 3,647$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.56 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 72c | 3,129$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.41 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 2,214$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.06 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 44c | 934$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.04 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 71c | 710$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California Baptist Lancers | 32c | 700.56$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California Baptist Lancers | 26c | 666.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 46c | 600$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 76c | 542.94$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 537.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 24c | 510$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 74c | 365.9$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed California Baptist Lancers | 41c | 168.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed California Baptist Lancers | 42c | 130.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 67c | 103.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked California Baptist Lancers | 46c | 86.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 70.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed California Baptist Lancers | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 70c | 35.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.