CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86126d1e29f984781bccfb919dcf8a89cfacc4382494e39b475de78800cfb080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Keyd | 33c | 1,159$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.63 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 650$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…3cdfbacked Keyd | 28c | 578.03$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd | 43c | 500$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.18 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 498$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.56 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 457.26$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Keyd | 32c | 421$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 372$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 324.11$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Keyd | 16c | 316.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Keyd | 26c | 287.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 280.7$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Keyd | 16c | 277.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Keyd | 26c | 270$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 237.37$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 30c | 228.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 218$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 215.78$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keyd | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 80c | 154.09$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 116$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 91.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 79c | 79.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 65.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Keyd | 24c | 46.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Keyd | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keyd | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Keyd | 43c | 34.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…650cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 32.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 31.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0a61backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.