CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c96ba8dd4c2873ed8dd6cdbd2fdfaab20d0766db5910bc4342887ccb32852ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Keyd | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Keyd | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Keyd | 57c | 1,339$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.92 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 868$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.13 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 836.31$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Keyd | 24c | 534$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Keyd | 18c | 422.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 53c | 421.08$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Keyd | 40c | 390.42$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.53 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 52c | 372.59$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 361.65$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 348$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.07 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 313.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 284.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Keyd | 47c | 246.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 46c | 210.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Keyd | 19c | 190$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 123.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…d0dcbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 108.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 106.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Keyd | 29c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 51c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 44 | 90.9%40 W · 4 L | +13.5wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keyd | 51c | 85.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Keyd | 22c | 81.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 70.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Keyd | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked Keyd | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 54c | 53.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Keyd | 38c | 47.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 41.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Keyd | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Keyd | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keyd | 45c | 31.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffsBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.