TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Insiders Esport vs EmberKoca (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EmberKocaof Insiders Esport, EmberKoca
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa316…deb4backed EmberKoca52c7,059$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.181172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Insiders Esport21c6,297$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.9816343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…6529backed Insiders Esport46c4,050$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.391258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Insiders Esport50c2,520$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.2235847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…7db2backed EmberKoca52c2,031$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.091478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd58…5b2fbacked Insiders Esport57c1,678$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.051060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9204…93a1backed EmberKoca55c1,582$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe54e…4a99backed Insiders Esport48c1,475$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.814761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00e1…e0d4backed EmberKoca49c1,300$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdff6…1963backed Insiders Esport49c1,118$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.324560%27 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78dd…3235backed Insiders Esport59c1,026$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.262951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…2f56backed EmberKoca47c778.41$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3783…32acbacked EmberKoca50c765.85$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd426…a727backed EmberKoca46c564.78$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4e…dd78backed EmberKoca47c529.76$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+74.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Insiders Esport40c513.82$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.023,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed Insiders Esport44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208570.6%60 W · 25 L+18.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xaaad…29e0backed EmberKoca52c464.93$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.071181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.34per pick48cpaid+72.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Insiders Esport50c458$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2921159.7%126 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Insiders Esport55c449.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.499662.5%60 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f1c…6383backed Insiders Esport53c449.98$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.933151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Insiders Esport48c431.02$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.531749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f9…5e1abacked EmberKoca47c416.19$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Insiders Esport14c408.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.42,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ee…a0bbbacked EmberKoca52c402.38$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.984761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28e4…fe39backed EmberKoca50c393.8$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked EmberKoca53c363$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4720447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf65…ceb5backed EmberKoca55c345.2$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+118.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed EmberKoca53c314.98$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.695,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Insiders Esport50c307.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2575833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Insiders Esport49c297.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2337057%211 W · 159 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf06…391fbacked EmberKoca50c271.36$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Insiders Esport50c260$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.222257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6524…5cf2backed Insiders Esport59c210.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.941323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-59.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Insiders Esport29c205.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.94,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c0…7003backed Insiders Esport58c192.04$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.962842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb140…ce3dbacked Insiders Esport53c189.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6865…7b0cbacked EmberKoca51c184.14$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked EmberKoca57c171$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.322,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54bc…b4e9backed Insiders Esport54c168.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.344946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…5277backed EmberKoca49c166.56$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df3…1411backed Insiders Esport51c163.86$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.574751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab0…7d89backed Insiders Esport66c151.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99a7…9133backed EmberKoca48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Insiders Esport10c141$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3988330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked EmberKoca60c132.23$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8938469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed Insiders Esport14c120.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8722346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked EmberKoca54c108.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.742,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef30…e949backed EmberKoca56c107$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.45470.4%38 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd2a…0620backed Insiders Esport10c106.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb733…0261backed EmberKoca50c101.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5657…42a6backed EmberKoca56c92.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.838048.8%39 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Insiders Esport39c91.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.642,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Insiders Esport34c89.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.652,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed EmberKoca50c89.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.642,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0175…acb4backed Insiders Esport51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Insiders Esport44c71.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.292,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca6…291cbacked Insiders Esport28c69.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Insiders Esport42c66.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.141,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed EmberKoca27c64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.966743.3%29 W · 38 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed EmberKoca24c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.535851.7%30 W · 28 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked EmberKoca49c59.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.233,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b12…1a7bbacked Insiders Esport44c52.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.914434.1%15 W · 29 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked EmberKoca33c47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4922837.3%85 W · 143 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed EmberKoca66c45.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5741372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked EmberKoca68c43.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.763,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed EmberKoca62c41.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8213871%98 W · 40 L+15.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Insiders Esport49c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015056.7%85 W · 65 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Insiders Esport45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Insiders Esport51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3265548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…b7a5backed Insiders Esport58c34.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-53%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa211…c0e1backed Insiders Esport35c29.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56e7…c2f0backed Insiders Esport51c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed EmberKoca55c27.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1628761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12e8…23dcbacked EmberKoca74c26.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked EmberKoca78c25.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6818481.5%150 W · 34 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6fb…32fabacked EmberKoca47c25.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed EmberKoca60c25.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1560954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed Insiders Esport52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.418951.3%97 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa32…a296backed EmberKoca75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.753783.8%31 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+18.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.