CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: Falcons vs. MIBR
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86a997cf0c41b54f440104f66f850f2e090698597ba36a8e37f61d2e2bb213d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof Falcons, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked MIBR | 16c | 5,591$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.52 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed MIBR | 16c | 3,000$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.58 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed MIBR | 29c | 2,916$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.93 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MIBR | 47c | 2,095$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.85 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MIBR | 19c | 1,789$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.26 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Falcons | 64c | 1,459$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MIBR | 15c | 1,186$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.36 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MIBR | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed MIBR | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked MIBR | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MIBR | 38c | 714.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.42 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed MIBR | 44c | 699.26$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.18 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed MIBR | 55c | 427$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked MIBR | 16c | 400$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed MIBR | 51c | 369$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MIBR | 16c | 339$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.32 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed MIBR | 26c | 331.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.22 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed MIBR | 29c | 315.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.22 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Falcons | 49c | 311$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Falcons | 51c | 299.77$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.86 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed MIBR | 21c | 290.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed MIBR | 19c | 273.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed MIBR | 14c | 250$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Falcons | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked MIBR | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed MIBR | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked MIBR | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed MIBR | 10c | 171.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked MIBR | 21c | 159.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed MIBR | 58c | 153$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed MIBR | 42c | 151.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked MIBR | 33c | 140$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed MIBR | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed MIBR | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…6bb7backed MIBR | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed MIBR | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed MIBR | 32c | 71.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Falcons | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Falcons | 77c | 69.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked MIBR | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MIBR | 39c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…c9e4backed MIBR | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked MIBR | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…1220backed MIBR | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…4b63backed Falcons | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Falcons | 65c | 16.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.