Tennis · resolved market
Lyon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Dali Blanch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86b093c932bb8d2c52e0bb4d6177d2d6919e2e0f005ba80d033a747e1aca97e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dali Blanchof Max Alcala Gurri, Dali Blanch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Max Alcala Gurri | 58c | 1,720$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.6 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Max Alcala Gurri | 35c | 1,439$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dali Blanch | 59c | 1,423$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Dali Blanch | 42c | 1,422$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.02 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dali Blanch | 71c | 1,395$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.35 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Alcala Gurri | 60c | 1,323$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.28 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Dali Blanch | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Alcala Gurri | 64c | 837.4$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Dali Blanch | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 58c | 767.64$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.97 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Dali Blanch | 53c | 753.25$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.69 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Dali Blanch | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dali Blanch | 71c | 468.39$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…1ab3backed Max Alcala Gurri | 61c | 428.36$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dali Blanch | 63c | 404.11$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Dali Blanch | 28c | 359.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.32 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Dali Blanch | 40c | 348.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.83 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Max Alcala Gurri | 59c | 333.33$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Dali Blanch | 43c | 279.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Dali Blanch | 73c | 273$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Max Alcala Gurri | 50c | 197.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Max Alcala Gurri | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 23c | 157.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Max Alcala Gurri | 28c | 153.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Max Alcala Gurri | 57c | 137$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Dali Blanch | 41c | 127$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Dali Blanch | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 35c | 112.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Max Alcala Gurri | 60c | 109$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dali Blanch | 33c | 95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dali Blanch | 41c | 85.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 59c | 85.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Dali Blanch | 40c | 81.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Dali Blanch | 70c | 76.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Alcala Gurri | 48c | 69.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dali Blanch | 30c | 61.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Max Alcala Gurri | 60c | 57.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Dali Blanch | 69c | 57.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dali Blanch | 40c | 51.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Dali Blanch | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Dali Blanch | 76c | 49.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Dali Blanch | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Dali Blanch | 42c | 44.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Max Alcala Gurri | 67c | 43.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Dali Blanch | 62c | 40.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Dali Blanch | 41c | 38.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Max Alcala Gurri | 35c | 35.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…716abacked Max Alcala Gurri | 32c | 32.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Max Alcala Gurri | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Max Alcala Gurri | 57c | 27.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Max Alcala Gurri | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Dali Blanch | 61c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Dali Blanch | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Dali Blanch | 73c | 19.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Max Alcala Gurri | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.