Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor vs. Konyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86e40d7f982918d6975f19efe3568bbb479a578ead18728630b3ce1f50e99f37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 4,083$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.64 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 31c | 3,980$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.94 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 34c | 2,881$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.55 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,589$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.54 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 41c | 811.45$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.7 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 475.5$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 409.74$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.91 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 383.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 25c | 355.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.63 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 261.45$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 73c | 238.08$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 70c | 220.3$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.21 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 175.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 146.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 106.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 21c | 103.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 82.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 75.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Yes | 32c | 72.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 46c | 67.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 70c | 66.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 31c | 64.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes | 32c | 61.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 70c | 61.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 76c | 60.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Yes | 32c | 60.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 58c | 59.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed No | 49c | 53.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 51.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 23c | 49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Yes | 50c | 45.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes | 32c | 44.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 77c | 42.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Yes | 32c | 37.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7e…f1bebacked Yes | 31c | 37.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 78c | 36.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 44c | 33.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 63c | 31.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 30.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 80c | 28.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…3dd3backed No | 43c | 27.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked No | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…8e29backed Yes | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 74c | 23.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 19.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 71c | 16.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 77c | 13.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor vs. Konyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-05?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.