Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan Wolverines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x872e25536824c9bd20a4c15f59ebea8f859082aa4859f931761a0f73231d0994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof UCLA Bruins, Michigan Wolverines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCLA Bruins | 8c | 15,712$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.38 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed UCLA Bruins | 8c | 10,000$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.49 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed UCLA Bruins | 5c | 9,584$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.03 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7f…95fabacked UCLA Bruins | 15c | 6,266$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed UCLA Bruins | 7c | 5,999$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.95 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked UCLA Bruins | 8c | 5,825$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UCLA Bruins | 7c | 3,836$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.28 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCLA Bruins | 4c | 3,641$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UCLA Bruins | 6c | 2,676$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed UCLA Bruins | 1c | 1,614$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked UCLA Bruins | 9c | 1,554$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UCLA Bruins | 4c | 1,159$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UCLA Bruins | 8c | 1,150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UCLA Bruins | 5c | 1,145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UCLA Bruins | 4c | 1,041$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed UCLA Bruins | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…2bc6backed UCLA Bruins | 9c | 571.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…09dcbacked UCLA Bruins | 15c | 513.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…4b0ebacked UCLA Bruins | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed UCLA Bruins | 12c | 345.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed UCLA Bruins | 4c | 318.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed UCLA Bruins | 8c | 305.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCLA Bruins | 6c | 283.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed UCLA Bruins | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked UCLA Bruins | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UCLA Bruins | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…9d4bbacked UCLA Bruins | 13c | 195.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed UCLA Bruins | 7c | 177$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked UCLA Bruins | 9c | 160.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed UCLA Bruins | 9c | 119.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked UCLA Bruins | 34c | 38.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Michigan Wolverines | 66c | 38.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan Wolverinesthis page
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-14.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-15.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-16.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 152.5Under won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 153.5Under won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 154.5Under won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.