Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sumter: Martina Okalova vs Sahaja Yamalapalli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88045549191e41ea1f6cc1ed6e2bd629f4c28e6a94fe59db641c97e638bbdc90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martina Okalovaof Martina Okalova, Sahaja Yamalapalli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Martina Okalova | 7c | 1,741$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.17 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martina Okalova | 24c | 1,548$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Martina Okalova | 20c | 1,060$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Martina Okalova | 38c | 655.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.73 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 79c | 637.91$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.09 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…2928backed Martina Okalova | 42c | 605.66$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.66 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…d4d7backed Martina Okalova | 12c | 599.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.3 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 75c | 412.28$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.25 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Martina Okalova | 15c | 362.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.74 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 79c | 311.2$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.89 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 61c | 264$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Martina Okalova | 7c | 227$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 66c | 166.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Martina Okalova | 12c | 159.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 69c | 158.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 75c | 158$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 75c | 149.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 76c | 148.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 61c | 139.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 73c | 86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Martina Okalova | 25c | 76.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Martina Okalova | 15c | 72.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 77c | 66.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Martina Okalova | 24c | 51.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Martina Okalova | 22c | 48.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 80c | 48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Martina Okalova | 23c | 46.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 68c | 43.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sahaja Yamalapalli | 76c | 22.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 77c | 19.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sahaja Yamalapalli | 71c | 15.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.