Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Jose State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8839601bc7d0ffb8420c6bed546c6d712822186a4c95b9731d004ea922d21d24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grand Canyon Antelopesof Grand Canyon Antelopes, San Jose State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Jose State Spartans | 35c | 2,901$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.31 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 76c | 1,771$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.41 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 70c | 1,574$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Jose State Spartans | 36c | 1,163$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.76 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Jose State Spartans | 8c | 1,040$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 67c | 1,031$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.58 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Jose State Spartans | 18c | 972.32$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 56c | 554.97$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.19 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 66c | 508$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.93 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 72c | 454.53$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 71c | 336$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 68c | 220$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 199.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 8c | 174.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 28c | 162.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…4b0ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Jose State Spartans | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed San Jose State Spartans | 35c | 95.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 73c | 92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked San Jose State Spartans | 27c | 89.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Jose State Spartans | 23c | 88.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 69c | 47.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked San Jose State Spartans | 32c | 46.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Jose State Spartans | 37c | 32.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 70c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 70c | 15.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Jose State Spartansthis page
- Spread: Grand Canyon Antelopes (-11.5)Grand Canyon Antelopes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.