Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Liberty Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x884a42e8ff9ba0477cc6f83e2f6aa150aa759bdd85c0d10ec8832fa3ac10271e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liberty Flamesof Sam Houston Bearkats, Liberty Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,042 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 16c | 3,985$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Liberty Flames | 67c | 3,277$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.26 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 3,273$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.97 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 31c | 2,701$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.38 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Liberty Flames | 67c | 2,118$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.9 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 1,996$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.66 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 1,214$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.92 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Liberty Flames | 78c | 1,174$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Liberty Flames | 78c | 1,072$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.57 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Liberty Flames | 67c | 1,053$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.65 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Liberty Flames | 66c | 931.6$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.23 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Liberty Flames | 75c | 861.27$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 34c | 783.12$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.57 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Liberty Flames | 65c | 711.53$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 36c | 692.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.8 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 10c | 641.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Liberty Flames | 77c | 493.75$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.43 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 476.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Liberty Flames | 67c | 447.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 34c | 416.56$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 37c | 398.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.34 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 17c | 395.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Liberty Flames | 74c | 342.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Liberty Flames | 63c | 329.38$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.87 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 37c | 281.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 27c | 281.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Liberty Flames | 65c | 244.74$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Liberty Flames | 65c | 228.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Liberty Flames | 65c | 219.24$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 38c | 198.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Liberty Flames | 79c | 164.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Liberty Flames | 65c | 152.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 34c | 149.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…6947backed Liberty Flames | 66c | 148.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 36c | 137.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 37c | 133.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Liberty Flames | 63c | 129.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Liberty Flames | 71c | 100.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Liberty Flames | 66c | 79.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Liberty Flames | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 28c | 68.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 37c | 66.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Liberty Flames | 73c | 64.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Liberty Flames | 72c | 58.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Liberty Flames | 80c | 56.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Liberty Flames | 67c | 52.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 34c | 47.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 29c | 41.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Liberty Flames | 70c | 36.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Liberty Flames | 66c | 32.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Liberty Flames | 66c | 30.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed Liberty Flames | 67c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Liberty Flames | 72c | 28.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 23.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Liberty Flames | 64c | 22.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 19.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Liberty Flames | 78c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Liberty Flamesthis page
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Liberty Flames: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-4.5)Liberty Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.