CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88e469ab59808ea5db0f94264fec2d6459feffe2b27494efb0b190462180bd29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 3,376$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.47 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 2,475$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.75 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M | 55c | 2,162$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.63 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Fluxo W7M | 76c | 1,140$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.78 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Fluxo W7M | 63c | 886.84$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.84 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 2c | 875.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 799.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.53 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 624.82$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.92 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Fluxo W7M | 72c | 596.47$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 24c | 576$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 26c | 530.51$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 42c | 459.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Fluxo W7M | 72c | 370.38$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fluxo W7M | 58c | 342.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 323$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…e030backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 216.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 201.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 199$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 195.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 172.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 162.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…7fd3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 162.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Fluxo W7M | 56c | 124.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…0953backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 93.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Fluxo W7M | 54c | 90.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 87.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Fluxo W7M | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fluxo W7M | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo W7M | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 72.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Fluxo W7M | 59c | 61.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Fluxo W7M | 61c | 50.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 47.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 258 | 48.8%126 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Fluxo W7M | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 39.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 36.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 34.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 30.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…f0a3backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 27.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 27.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 24.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Fluxo W7M | 52c | 23.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…9c18backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 20.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Fluxo W7M | 57c | 20.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Fluxo W7M | 58c | 18.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+1.5)Bounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.