CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x893667a82756baaa3d16b5ff1cf8f48d091d42695226480275bcbb77fe5f763b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof STATE, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MASONIC | 71c | 951.48$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.02 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MASONIC | 51c | 557.65$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.73 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed STATE | 20c | 522.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed STATE | 42c | 272.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MASONIC | 41c | 256.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MASONIC | 36c | 240.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked STATE | 34c | 207.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed STATE | 65c | 191.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked STATE | 32c | 161.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed STATE | 15c | 155.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked STATE | 66c | 150.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed STATE | 47c | 149.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked STATE | 76c | 132.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed STATE | 61c | 114.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…a82fbacked STATE | 39c | 102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MASONIC | 51c | 99.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed STATE | 63c | 98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed STATE | 58c | 93.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked STATE | 41c | 88.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MASONIC | 41c | 85.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked STATE | 77c | 80.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 53c | 77.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MASONIC | 42c | 75.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed STATE | 39c | 75.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed STATE | 15c | 74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed STATE | 33c | 72.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed MASONIC | 46c | 70.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked STATE | 23c | 70.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked STATE | 32c | 62.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed STATE | 64c | 62.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked STATE | 36c | 58.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked STATE | 24c | 56.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…2605backed STATE | 61c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked STATE | 46c | 50.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MASONIC | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed STATE | 48c | 48.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed STATE | 71c | 35.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed STATE | 79c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 535 | 69.3%371 W · 164 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed MASONIC | 71c | 25.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed MASONIC | 43c | 25.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed MASONIC | 61c | 23.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MASONIC | 65c | 22.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…90fdbacked MASONIC | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed STATE | 64c | 17.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked MASONIC | 66c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerSTATE won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.