Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Kristina Mladenovic vs Fiona Ferro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8954c01da6c263bb4edf5c42d171567f182f95cdbfd5efbb8c13e113740ffaea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferroof Mladenovic, Ferro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mladenovic | 1c | 2,697$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ferro | 80c | 715.67$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Mladenovic | 9c | 577.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mladenovic | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Mladenovic | 23c | 410.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Mladenovic | 8c | 250.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mladenovic | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mladenovic | 9c | 229.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Mladenovic | 20c | 207.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mladenovic | 22c | 180.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Mladenovic | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Mladenovic | 10c | 100.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked Ferro | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mladenovic | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mladenovic | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Mladenovic | 22c | 92.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Ferro | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Mladenovic | 20c | 75.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Mladenovic | 20c | 74.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ferro | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Ferro | 79c | 19.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Ferro | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…9491backed Ferro | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.