Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a2d70bf2a3cf90f0df6e52657da1d599968b8531d03fcdca96f715d6834cf14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 53c | 327.68$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 29c | 310.29$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 18c | 248.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 24c | 230.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 10c | 213.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 63c | 175.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 175.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…adbebacked Yes | 72c | 167.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 7c | 160.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 9c | 156.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 41c | 124$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 25c | 123.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 12c | 121$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 79c | 120.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…0a9abacked Yes | 48c | 102.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dce…1ae5backed No | 55c | 90.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 60cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 26c | 86.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 34c | 84.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 42c | 83.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 61c | 82.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 46c | 79.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 25c | 77.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 71.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 44c | 65.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…b2afbacked No | 54c | 60.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 47c | 57.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 74c | 56.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 26c | 56.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 45c | 54.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 66c | 51.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 69c | 51.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…2129backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 40c | 49.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 45c | 47.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 49c | 46.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 59c | 41.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…95cfbacked Yes | 53c | 38.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…e04bbacked No | 36c | 34.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…f1b9backed Yes | 66c | 34.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 48c | 34.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 39c | 32.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec50…e521backed Yes | 66c | 32.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 75c | 31.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 57c | 31.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…9542backed No | 36c | 31.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 35c | 30.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 58c | 29.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…91d9backed Yes | 67c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…2f80backed No | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…8652backed No | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…58d4backed No | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 52c | 23.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…808bbacked Yes | 66c | 22.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 53c | 22.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 45c | 22.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 49c | 21.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…e39ebacked Yes | 66c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 48c | 20.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 77c | 20.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked Yes | 61c | 20.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 61c | 19.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 59c | 17.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…6c36backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429f…05e4backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 73c | 13.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.