CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Back to Back vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a55d4889de92f4c6e8fefbb5ae26dc05e767bf44ee71327177300b1359d4761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Back to Back of Back to Back , Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,807 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Keyd | 59c | 2,867$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.48 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Back to Back | 43c | 2,676$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.14 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Back to Back | 77c | 1,946$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.5 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Keyd | 15c | 1,200$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Back to Back | 40c | 955$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.6 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Back to Back | 70c | 603$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.14 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Keyd | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.69 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Back to Back | 54c | 469.52$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.76 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd | 17c | 414.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 7c | 329$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Keyd | 16c | 322.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Keyd | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Keyd | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Back to Back | 74c | 213.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Keyd | 71c | 211.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Back to Back | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 40c | 176.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Back to Back | 40c | 161.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keyd | 48c | 145.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Back to Back | 46c | 121$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Keyd | 51c | 99.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed Back to Back | 31c | 92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Back to Back | 69c | 89.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keyd | 35c | 80.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Keyd | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Keyd | 51c | 78.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Keyd | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Keyd | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Keyd | 33c | 49.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Back to Back | 49c | 47.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Back to Back | 61c | 43.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Back to Back | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Keyd | 40c | 39.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Back to Back | 55c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Back to Back | 54c | 37.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Back to Back | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…8afebacked Keyd | 51c | 31.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Back to Back | 40c | 26.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Keyd | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Keyd | 60c | 18.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Keyd | 63c | 17.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Back to Back vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Back to Back vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 PlayoffsBack to Back won
- Counter-Strike: Back to Back vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerBack to Back won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.