Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
George Mason Patriots vs. VCU Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ade1d929689a7d2cab3329fd7afb6ba1f65a77eecf9428adc5986ea708386da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VCU Ramsof George Mason Patriots, VCU Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked George Mason Patriots | 27c | 2,188$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.52 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed George Mason Patriots | 13c | 1,121$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed George Mason Patriots | 24c | 996.71$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.95 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed George Mason Patriots | 17c | 585.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked VCU Rams | 75c | 575.22$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked George Mason Patriots | 21c | 530.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked VCU Rams | 74c | 508.69$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked George Mason Patriots | 17c | 448.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed George Mason Patriots | 17c | 437.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VCU Rams | 72c | 410.04$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed George Mason Patriots | 32c | 312.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked George Mason Patriots | 17c | 273.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed George Mason Patriots | 21c | 205.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…8a9dbacked George Mason Patriots | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked George Mason Patriots | 16c | 199.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed George Mason Patriots | 24c | 158.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed VCU Rams | 79c | 141.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked George Mason Patriots | 13c | 132.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked VCU Rams | 77c | 117.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed George Mason Patriots | 17c | 117.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked George Mason Patriots | 24c | 113.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed George Mason Patriots | 23c | 111.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed George Mason Patriots | 17c | 104.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed George Mason Patriots | 19c | 88.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked George Mason Patriots | 13c | 81.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed George Mason Patriots | 22c | 69.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked George Mason Patriots | 15c | 69.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed VCU Rams | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed VCU Rams | 78c | 44.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked VCU Rams | 77c | 21.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- George Mason Patriots vs. VCU Ramsthis page
- Spread: VCU Rams (-10.5)George Mason Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.