Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 Academy vs X-CAST - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8afd6917cb0629c3280c4b1992049cd9254cac2cfbaf5c3deb814b85016ca64a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof T1 Academy, X-CAST
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eac…e409backed T1 Academy | 54c | 642.31$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.06 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked X-CAST | 43c | 475.62$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.82 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed T1 Academy | 37c | 424.75$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.88 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…d01cbacked X-CAST | 66c | 378.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked T1 Academy | 49c | 297.05$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked X-CAST | 38c | 251.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed T1 Academy | 51c | 227.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed X-CAST | 49c | 214.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked T1 Academy | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked T1 Academy | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked X-CAST | 47c | 139.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed T1 Academy | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked X-CAST | 42c | 128$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed X-CAST | 43c | 128$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed X-CAST | 42c | 128$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed X-CAST | 43c | 112.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked X-CAST | 47c | 109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked T1 Academy | 52c | 100.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked X-CAST | 46c | 98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked X-CAST | 43c | 97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed T1 Academy | 62c | 84.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked T1 Academy | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed T1 Academy | 75c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked X-CAST | 24c | 70.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed X-CAST | 56c | 63.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed T1 Academy | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed T1 Academy | 59c | 42.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed T1 Academy | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed T1 Academy | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked T1 Academy | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed T1 Academy | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50a…4e2ebacked T1 Academy | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 Academy vs X-CAST - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: T1 Academy vs X-CAST (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular SeasonT1 Academy won
- Valorant: T1 Academy vs X-CAST - Map 1 WinnerX-CAST won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.