CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b209a413ee063078ff0461acc757942a02a2c24ed185e5f7e34dc11b47b342f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof Rebels Gaming, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit | 45c | 3,895$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Rebels Gaming | 54c | 3,600$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.99 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Rebels Gaming | 55c | 2,221$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.55 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Rebels Gaming | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HyperSpirit | 64c | 1,470$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.91 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 46c | 1,044$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.66 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rebels Gaming | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…78f3backed HyperSpirit | 71c | 424.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed HyperSpirit | 43c | 413.97$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.47 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…615bbacked Rebels Gaming | 58c | 379.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Rebels Gaming | 58c | 364.93$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.67 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed HyperSpirit | 46c | 363$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.02 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Rebels Gaming | 45c | 353.19$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.67 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 288.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Rebels Gaming | 61c | 286.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Rebels Gaming | 36c | 269.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rebels Gaming | 57c | 264.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b58fbacked HyperSpirit | 43c | 255.92$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 43c | 236.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.83 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rebels Gaming | 51c | 226.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed HyperSpirit | 45c | 219.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked HyperSpirit | 43c | 218$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HyperSpirit | 49c | 195.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed HyperSpirit | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Rebels Gaming | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed HyperSpirit | 50c | 102.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rebels Gaming | 32c | 101.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…b9a4backed HyperSpirit | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed HyperSpirit | 72c | 94.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Rebels Gaming | 59c | 92.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Rebels Gaming | 73c | 80.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 62.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Rebels Gaming | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…42c4backed HyperSpirit | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Rebels Gaming | 55c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rebels Gaming | 25c | 54.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rebels Gaming | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed HyperSpirit | 40c | 51.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 51.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…f1aabacked Rebels Gaming | 59c | 47.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rebels Gaming | 58c | 37.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HyperSpirit | 58c | 32.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed HyperSpirit | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed HyperSpirit | 58c | 29.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed HyperSpirit | 58c | 29.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 28.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Rebels Gaming | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed HyperSpirit | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…258fbacked HyperSpirit | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerRebels Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.