La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b3808a38690a74ddfb4c4edc4ba1d19b47a0fa619866340b6a96432739c246c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3016…f1fcbacked No | 0c | 5,596$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 1,452$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.38 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 15c | 741$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 77c | 653.59$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 43c | 613.84$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.89 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 14c | 467.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.99 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 19c | 361.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.01 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 347.87$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 340.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.21 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…f7c5backed Yes | 31c | 340.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 252.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 105.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed No | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 26c | 89.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 38c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 31c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 58c | 78.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 44c | 76.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 67c | 76.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 57c | 75.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 44c | 74.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 16c | 68.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 44c | 65.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 58c | 51.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…be1cbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 45c | 49.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Yes | 21c | 48.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 26c | 45.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 58c | 42.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 57c | 41.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 57c | 41.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 57c | 41.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 57c | 41.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 57c | 41.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 58c | 41.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 58c | 41.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 58c | 41.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 58c | 41.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 58c | 41.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 57c | 38.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 58c | 37.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 58c | 36.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 32.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 57c | 30.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 57c | 30.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 58c | 29.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 57c | 28.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 58c | 25.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Burgos CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.