Fifa International · resolved market
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b6acc4db73888fda435384da0c2dcf80b6ed26cdb02551d2c26868e738f363a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 4,257$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 22c | 4,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…4834backed Under | 67c | 503.57$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 283.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 33c | 217.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Over | 36c | 152$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 147.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 10c | 134.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 42c | 129.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 76c | 104$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…af0cbacked Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 33c | 62.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 64c | 45.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 33c | 42.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 80c | 39.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 19.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 78c | 16.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 429 | 52%223 W · 206 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…3755backed Under | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 2.5this page
- Niger vs. Mauritania: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5Over won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5Under won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Mauritania (-1.5)Niger won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.