Fifa International · resolved market
Niger vs. Mauritania: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eadc17db644593028ab83e19d28ce8408c9690a03e87cc133a9a3f4582ab4ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 832.43$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 527.79$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.75 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 377$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 47c | 277.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.07 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 37c | 220.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Yes | 45c | 180.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 48c | 160.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 128.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 46c | 76.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed No | 57c | 50.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 46c | 41.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…94edbacked Yes | 45c | 33.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 54c | 32.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…f109backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Niger vs. Mauritania: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5Over won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5Under won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 2.5Under won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Mauritania (-1.5)Niger won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.