Fifa International · resolved market
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd08a2d406006cf61eb4d7b8d6947989e3c79e7eada68ee41c81d9cecefb03cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 5,481$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.31 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…f819backed Over | 49c | 3,713$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.65 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 3,093$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.14 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 31c | 1,619$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.12 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…85ecbacked Over | 21c | 999.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 63c | 694.28$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 15c | 497.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 65c | 427.88$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…b2acbacked Under | 22c | 415.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 393.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 60c | 183.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Over | 58c | 171.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 11c | 150.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…43f4backed Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 57c | 137.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed Under | 13c | 137$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 46c | 129.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Under | 35c | 79.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 39c | 79.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 15c | 67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 62.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 49c | 45.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5this page
- Niger vs. Mauritania: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5Under won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 2.5Under won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Mauritania (-1.5)Niger won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.