Fifa International · resolved market
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a0aea5b940c8bcfc16e68d469b8fa9a5e115c6405580c1f49a01ea4edbd8bc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,838$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.35 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 1,819$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 30c | 1,662$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 942.46$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.81 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Over | 50c | 459.66$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.83 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 42c | 342.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 29c | 339.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 297.4$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 269.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 45c | 211.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 30c | 185.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 40c | 172.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 60c | 171.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 60c | 168.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Over | 63c | 158.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…fafcbacked Over | 64c | 153.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 71c | 140.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 62c | 115.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…2ba2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 79.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Over | 61c | 73.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 35c | 68.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 34.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 61c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 61c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 63c | 16.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed Under | 77c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5this page
- Niger vs. Mauritania: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5Over won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 2.5Under won
- Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Mauritania (-1.5)Niger won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.