Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: la Masia vs RED Canids - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ba1d373fc7221e8d342b284c440e9fe1dde54738249c9b3c85b72e07eb033fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- la Masiaof la Masia, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eac…e409backed la Masia | 28c | 2,445$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.04 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed RED Canids | 55c | 599.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked RED Canids | 71c | 403.31$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.84 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RED Canids | 74c | 227.67$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked RED Canids | 70c | 217.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RED Canids | 76c | 184.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RED Canids | 43c | 146$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed RED Canids | 29c | 141.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked RED Canids | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed la Masia | 39c | 63.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed la Masia | 31c | 62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked la Masia | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked la Masia | 41c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed la Masia | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked la Masia | 27c | 44.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked la Masia | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked la Masia | 41c | 37.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RED Canids | 74c | 23.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed RED Canids | 51c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: la Masia vs RED Canids - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: la Masia vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsla Masia won
- Valorant: la Masia vs RED Canids - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.