TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, Deep Cross Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Secret Whales54c10,057$5,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,576.8967552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Team Secret Whales55c9,536$5,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,331.961,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Deep Cross Gaming45c7,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.991,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Deep Cross Gaming46c7,000$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.971,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Deep Cross Gaming45c6,697$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.651,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849a…9207backed Deep Cross Gaming46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3803836.8%14 W · 24 L-8.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-35.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Deep Cross Gaming46c2,300$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05864443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Team Secret Whales53c2,110$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.6922536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Team Secret Whales54c2,107$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.4119232.8%63 W · 129 L-17.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Team Secret Whales55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Team Secret Whales54c1,536$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.3727142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Deep Cross Gaming46c1,486$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.591,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Deep Cross Gaming46c1,305$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.4282554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Secret Whales54c1,247$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.7231337.7%118 W · 195 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Team Secret Whales54c1,168$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.2812850%64 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Deep Cross Gaming47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010049%49 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Team Secret Whales54c1,002$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.4511938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Team Secret Whales56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4409545.3%43 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7587…c65abacked Deep Cross Gaming46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Team Secret Whales54c999.95$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9841343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Deep Cross Gaming47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team Secret Whales55c799.99$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3631,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Deep Cross Gaming46c750$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3457851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Deep Cross Gaming46c723.3$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.442,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac89…3783backed Team Secret Whales54c708.78$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.043545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Deep Cross Gaming46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27621150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcab0…0d18backed Team Secret Whales55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6566…1f93backed Deep Cross Gaming46c478.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.321020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-60.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Secret Whales54c468.8$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.652133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Team Secret Whales55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6453753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Deep Cross Gaming46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Secret Whales54c332.59$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.992,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Deep Cross Gaming46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13820154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Secret Whales54c231.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4816035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Team Secret Whales54c226.86$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3611446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Secret Whales54c225$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.534250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Team Secret Whales54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9295048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce51…1ddbbacked Team Secret Whales54c188.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8912657.9%73 W · 53 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Deep Cross Gaming47c187.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8820551.7%106 W · 99 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Team Secret Whales54c177.05$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.671,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Deep Cross Gaming47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Secret Whales54c169.97$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.192,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Secret Whales54c167.84$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2121844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Secret Whales54c163.43$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4390537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Deep Cross Gaming46c154.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.881,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked Team Secret Whales54c154$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.195650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x08ec…4e7fbacked Team Secret Whales54c145.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked Team Secret Whales54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8928261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Team Secret Whales54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Deep Cross Gaming46c113.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1432053.8%172 W · 148 L+21.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Deep Cross Gaming46c106.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4947434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Deep Cross Gaming46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4675738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0335…6829backed Deep Cross Gaming46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Deep Cross Gaming47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.622452.7%118 W · 106 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb3…9e69backed Team Secret Whales54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.072962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Deep Cross Gaming46c60.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289441.5%39 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Team Secret Whales54c56.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0739652%206 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x173c…a5aabacked Team Secret Whales52c53.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.611258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Team Secret Whales56c53.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2684360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Deep Cross Gaming46c52.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Deep Cross Gaming45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.532755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Deep Cross Gaming45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2549756.3%280 W · 217 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Deep Cross Gaming46c34.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.731,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Deep Cross Gaming46c31.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4445044.7%201 W · 249 L-29.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x310b…19ccbacked Deep Cross Gaming65c30.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Deep Cross Gaming48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.475150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Deep Cross Gaming46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.879345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Deep Cross Gaming46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.823946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Team Secret Whales66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.592354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Deep Cross Gaming46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.514429.2%42 W · 102 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Team Secret Whales60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1046452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Team Secret Whales54c18.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.66654.5%36 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.