Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bulldog Esports vs B2U - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c8f90dff462664669838f3c3926a91106dd79f42407582c84e506646bc87f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B2Uof Bulldog Esports, B2U
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61f6…e497backed B2U | 30c | 453.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.38 | 469 | 38%178 W · 291 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked B2U | 35c | 311.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.93 | 431 | 43.2%186 W · 245 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Bulldog Esports | 65c | 295.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Bulldog Esports | 71c | 280.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…8709backed Bulldog Esports | 29c | 267.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…7603backed Bulldog Esports | 66c | 199.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.96 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed B2U | 72c | 192.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 1,893 | 39.8%754 W · 1,139 L | -68.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked B2U | 34c | 147.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed B2U | 40c | 141.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 535 | 45.8%245 W · 290 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…ef08backed Bulldog Esports | 71c | 126.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked B2U | 41c | 101.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 316 | 53.8%170 W · 146 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed B2U | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Bulldog Esports | 53c | 86.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +16.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed B2U | 33c | 73.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed B2U | 37c | 70.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bulldog Esports | 34c | 65.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,022 | 45.4%464 W · 558 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed B2U | 32c | 51.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed B2U | 62c | 50.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 299 | 30.4%91 W · 208 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Bulldog Esports | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 336 | 41.1%138 W · 198 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bulldog Esports | 64c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 658 | 42.1%277 W · 381 L | -56.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Bulldog Esports | 73c | 47.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked B2U | 65c | 46.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…df1cbacked Bulldog Esports | 72c | 41.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a635backed Bulldog Esports | 56c | 40.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed B2U | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 275 | 55.6%153 W · 122 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bulldog Esports | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 2,359 | 39.2%925 W · 1,434 L | -89.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed B2U | 44c | 33.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1,273 | 40%509 W · 764 L | -69.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked B2U | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 1,129 | 47.8%540 W · 589 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…c1a9backed B2U | 36c | 29.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked B2U | 66c | 27.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 301 | 45.5%137 W · 164 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bulldog Esports | 46c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3,206 | 34%1,089 W · 2,117 L | -150.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Bulldog Esports | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 49.7%94 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bulldog Esports | 51c | 24.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1,431 | 31.2%446 W · 985 L | -141.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bulldog Esports | 56c | 18.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 195 | 39%76 W · 119 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Bulldog Esports | 64c | 17.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bulldog Esports vs B2U - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Bulldog Esports vs B2U (BO3) - NLC PlayoffsBulldog Esports won
- LoL: Bulldog Esports vs B2U - Game 2 WinnerBulldog Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.