CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: maquinas vs Z7 Esports (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c9bf8a03bcbe0ca9818ce42f46fbdcfde17a9c87e02124bf2433e5a95300f9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Z7 Esportsof maquinas, Z7 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed Z7 Esports | 73c | 13,837$10,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.18 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked maquinas | 0c | 12,475$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked maquinas | 29c | 5,974$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.18 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…abc5backed Z7 Esports | 73c | 5,619$4,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked maquinas | 19c | 4,529$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked maquinas | 14c | 3,749$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.41 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed maquinas | 27c | 3,222$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.46 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Z7 Esports | 65c | 2,962$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.08 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked maquinas | 28c | 2,948$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.56 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Z7 Esports | 74c | 2,844$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.05 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8c…f2cebacked maquinas | 32c | 1,773$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked maquinas | 21c | 1,412$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.1 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Z7 Esports | 75c | 1,382$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked maquinas | 29c | 1,338$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.59 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed Z7 Esports | 72c | 1,268$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.09 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…284bbacked Z7 Esports | 70c | 1,141$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed maquinas | 29c | 1,112$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked maquinas | 24c | 930.07$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.02 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed maquinas | 21c | 864.67$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.3 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked maquinas | 28c | 842.97$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.69 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed maquinas | 24c | 734.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.74 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…bcecbacked Z7 Esports | 76c | 682.67$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed maquinas | 27c | 577.7$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Z7 Esports | 65c | 527.15$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed maquinas | 23c | 520$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed maquinas | 38c | 503.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked maquinas | 28c | 478.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed maquinas | 21c | 432.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed maquinas | 28c | 410.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed maquinas | 39c | 278.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked maquinas | 28c | 249.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked maquinas | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Z7 Esports | 64c | 235.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Z7 Esports | 73c | 213.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Z7 Esports | 64c | 207.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed maquinas | 21c | 181.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed maquinas | 35c | 133.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04be…f505backed Z7 Esports | 68c | 127.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed maquinas | 19c | 118.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed maquinas | 31c | 109.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed maquinas | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked maquinas | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Z7 Esports | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked maquinas | 25c | 90.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked maquinas | 29c | 89.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b03…af64backed maquinas | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed maquinas | 28c | 74.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Z7 Esports | 71c | 71.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked maquinas | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Z7 Esports | 65c | 51.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed maquinas | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Z7 Esports | 65c | 46.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Z7 Esports | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked maquinas | 28c | 38.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Z7 Esports | 77c | 34.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked maquinas | 39c | 30.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Z7 Esports | 65c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Z7 Esports | 65c | 29.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Z7 Esports | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Z7 Esports | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…9521backed Z7 Esports | 69c | 25.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Z7 Esports | 66c | 16.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.