CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cdf3dafc9c97307537417edd19bb8a574c4735c61786cc4e78296a121bcd5a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof CYBERSHOKE Esports, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 12c | 730.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY | 79c | 709.29$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed ex-RUBY | 79c | 563.68$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 235$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 23c | 213.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 22c | 207.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f95…4b39backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 193.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 72c | 181.81$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 21c | 149.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 33c | 148.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 27c | 118.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 29c | 110.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…91f1backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 99.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…82a8backed ex-RUBY | 78c | 82.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 107 | 75.7%81 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 24c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 72.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 23c | 61.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 73c | 43.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 25.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 23.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.