CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf39ea061f57698311c831568ab8d6b2ccd28cef9457a69123c902924c4fcd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- R2 Esports Clubof Bad Luck, R2 Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084b…3de6backed R2 Esports Club | 33c | 1,838$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.47 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bad Luck | 79c | 1,345$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.24 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Bad Luck | 62c | 1,222$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.37 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked R2 Esports Club | 37c | 1,106$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.88 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Bad Luck | 52c | 929.97$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed R2 Esports Club | 46c | 724.02$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.78 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bad Luck | 54c | 701.16$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.61 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Bad Luck | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed R2 Esports Club | 25c | 400.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked R2 Esports Club | 60c | 390$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.48 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Bad Luck | 60c | 331.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bad Luck | 32c | 321.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bad Luck | 46c | 298.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bad Luck | 66c | 272.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Bad Luck | 44c | 218.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Bad Luck | 31c | 191.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed Bad Luck | 71c | 180$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked R2 Esports Club | 57c | 173$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…a300backed R2 Esports Club | 67c | 165.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed R2 Esports Club | 41c | 155.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bad Luck | 48c | 150.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…370bbacked R2 Esports Club | 74c | 145.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Bad Luck | 49c | 138.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bad Luck | 50c | 131$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked R2 Esports Club | 49c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked R2 Esports Club | 50c | 111.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Bad Luck | 52c | 107$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bad Luck | 59c | 101.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed R2 Esports Club | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Bad Luck | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked R2 Esports Club | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed R2 Esports Club | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bad Luck | 36c | 67.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked R2 Esports Club | 46c | 64.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bad Luck | 62c | 63.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bad Luck | 65c | 62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked R2 Esports Club | 32c | 56.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed R2 Esports Club | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked R2 Esports Club | 42c | 47.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…ecbebacked R2 Esports Club | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +174.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bad Luck | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Bad Luck | 55c | 34.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Bad Luck | 46c | 30.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…e300backed R2 Esports Club | 48c | 22.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Bad Luck | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…b61bbacked Bad Luck | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…6633backed Bad Luck | 78c | 15.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs R2 Esports Club - Map 2 WinnerR2 Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.