Mls · resolved market
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d26af68861d9bc56c2b284e3079053787306d3f1fe5ff84310024e7e2ee35f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sporting Kansas Cityof Colorado Rapids SC, Sporting Kansas City
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rapids SC | 16c | 3,162$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.4 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Colorado Rapids SC | 26c | 980.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sporting Kansas City | 78c | 674.31$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sporting Kansas City | 74c | 462$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Colorado Rapids SC | 19c | 428.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Colorado Rapids SC | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sporting Kansas City | 75c | 229.21$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 23c | 45.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sporting Kansas City | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Colorado Rapids SC O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.