Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5e577033642e1cbcbc081ba890974c780daea706ec6e4765d858454544ced2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Over | 64c | 6,186$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 64c | 5,187$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 37c | 2,340$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.24 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 59c | 1,425$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.95 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 49c | 1,025$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.28 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 61c | 748.28$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.83 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 700.25$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.1 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 32c | 602.05$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.06 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 68c | 588.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 494.94$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 40c | 420.47$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 51c | 403.17$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 53c | 380.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 56c | 292.59$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 25c | 282.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 16c | 240$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 40c | 190$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 25c | 160.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 15c | 137.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 42c | 127$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 48c | 109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…2cd4backed Over | 64c | 103.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 101.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 61c | 99.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 60c | 98.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 16c | 86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 74c | 82.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 77c | 65.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Under | 16c | 63.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 29c | 62.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 24c | 51.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…a1c1backed Over | 70c | 28.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 52c | 25.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 66c | 17.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Colorado Rapids SC O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.