Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a8dca1d77e2de954d1c71da0800d99803f57fd3424cbb5d059ac4220ba06d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 2,459$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.74 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 68c | 2,046$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 2,040$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 821.95$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.34 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 68c | 588.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 5c | 550$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 496.89$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.53 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 462.54$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.89 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 413.89$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 31c | 348$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.12 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 64c | 272$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 36c | 272$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.08 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 29c | 250.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 50c | 112.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 95.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 63c | 88.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 34c | 84.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 80.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…acbabacked Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 69.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 38c | 58.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 55.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…425bbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 69c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…1a59backed Under | 53c | 32.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 28.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Colorado Rapids SC O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.