Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d3b04ac94af0ea0a5074c553bb6317712e1535122829300a1f20c1d83c101fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Power Rangers, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Power Rangers | 41c | 1,229$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,110$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.8 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers | 39c | 906.88$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.45 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Power Rangers | 38c | 452.11$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 446.67$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.17 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 364.56$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.13 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Power Rangers | 34c | 225.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 223.05$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…786bbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Power Rangers | 40c | 36.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group CPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.