Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf582311bbe777b68e598082c6ca3b91a503f8922b22db770501ca9729047d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Power Rangers | 36c | 2,769$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.75 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers | 43c | 1,934$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.86 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 894.24$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.05 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 750.09$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.37 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 512.57$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Power Rangers | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f4…77c2backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 429.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 384.18$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.33 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…786bbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 380$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 351.72$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.27 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 351.61$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 315$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…9510backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 281.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 210.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 188.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…2cecbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 153.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…fbd4backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 147.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Power Rangers | 55c | 129.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 122$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 112.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Power Rangers | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 74.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Power Rangers | 42c | 56.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 55.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 46.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…4f72backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 35.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…d156backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 34.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Power Rangers | 48c | 30.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 30.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group CPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.