Tennis · resolved market
Mauthausen: Marko Topo vs Martin Krumich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dcb39f3a3b54cd105817ab71e3c3fb8ca35eadeb4de6303296469126f4780dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Krumichof Marko Topo, Martin Krumich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Martin Krumich | 78c | 19,431$15,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.82 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marko Topo | 22c | 17,875$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.39 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Marko Topo | 47c | 6,367$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.5 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Martin Krumich | 79c | 2,533$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.27 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marko Topo | 22c | 2,191$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.83 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Martin Krumich | 77c | 1,798$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.44 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Martin Krumich | 43c | 1,789$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.13 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Martin Krumich | 42c | 1,540$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.32 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Marko Topo | 22c | 1,000$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.13 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Marko Topo | 26c | 800.19$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.05 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Martin Krumich | 61c | 785.82$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.47 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ea…cfb2backed Marko Topo | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Martin Krumich | 60c | 740.93$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.77 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Marko Topo | 23c | 432.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Martin Krumich | 61c | 233.69$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Marko Topo | 39c | 197.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Marko Topo | 39c | 197.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Marko Topo | 39c | 187.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Marko Topo | 39c | 178.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Marko Topo | 18c | 166.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Marko Topo | 39c | 101.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed Marko Topo | 11c | 95.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Marko Topo | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Marko Topo | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Marko Topo | 38c | 76.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…d809backed Marko Topo | 42c | 74.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Marko Topo | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Marko Topo | 45c | 67.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Marko Topo | 22c | 58.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Martin Krumich | 62c | 53.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Martin Krumich | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Marko Topo | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Marko Topo | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Martin Krumich | 60c | 39.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Martin Krumich | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Martin Krumich | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Martin Krumich | 62c | 30.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…7216backed Martin Krumich | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 147 | 70.7%104 W · 43 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.