Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Crawford vs Jurij Rodionov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dee5a6856dedae933d166bea37aca1739a9f016a7dddb579997314ac77b3d12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jurij Rodionovof Oliver Crawford, Jurij Rodionov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oliver Crawford | 12c | 2,025$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 1,201$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.16 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Oliver Crawford | 33c | 533.4$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Oliver Crawford | 8c | 531.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Oliver Crawford | 30c | 379.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Oliver Crawford | 35c | 377$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oliver Crawford | 10c | 346.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Oliver Crawford | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Oliver Crawford | 32c | 171$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Oliver Crawford | 18c | 167.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Oliver Crawford | 31c | 163.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jurij Rodionov | 72c | 159.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Jurij Rodionov | 69c | 146.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Oliver Crawford | 21c | 144.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 136.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jurij Rodionov | 67c | 135.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Oliver Crawford | 20c | 127$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Oliver Crawford | 32c | 121.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 115$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Jurij Rodionov | 69c | 109.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Oliver Crawford | 16c | 105.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Oliver Crawford | 35c | 91.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Oliver Crawford | 22c | 91.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Oliver Crawford | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jurij Rodionov | 69c | 89.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Oliver Crawford | 21c | 85.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Oliver Crawford | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jurij Rodionov | 70c | 75.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Oliver Crawford | 33c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Jurij Rodionov | 66c | 71.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Jurij Rodionov | 69c | 70.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…267fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 68.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Oliver Crawford | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Oliver Crawford | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 62.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Oliver Crawford | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Jurij Rodionov | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Oliver Crawford | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Oliver Crawford | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Jurij Rodionov | 67c | 29.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 20.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Jurij Rodionov | 69c | 18.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Jurij Rodionov | 67c | 15.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.