Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb264ef17eb17a53288fb5356159bf96c00035b365a032901906d60103d83b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HANJIN BRION Challengersof Hanwha Life Esports Challengers, HANJIN BRION Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf377…4159backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 37c | 2,555$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.41 | 212 | 48.6%103 W · 109 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 63c | 1,278$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.85 | 598 | 54.2%324 W · 274 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 35c | 666.83$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.39 | 331 | 53.2%176 W · 155 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 65c | 240$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 65c | 158.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 65c | 151.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 63c | 114$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 37c | 61.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked HANJIN BRION Challengers | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…7d13backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed HANJIN BRION Challengers | 65c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupHANJIN BRION Challengers won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION Challengers won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.