Will Colombia vs. Croatia end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f117bd386f248aaf91ee07e1dcf995b5c0a7c7688a20ef3e1e7fcf8d7520864

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,306 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd37a…2358backed No	72c	6,411$4,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,796.38	371	44.5%165 W · 206 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	74c	3,048$2,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.72	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca7e…3fb8backed Yes	28c	2,564$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	72c	1,599$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.63	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	71c	1,514$1,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.27	237	38.8%92 W · 145 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	30c	1,484$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.49	293	43%126 W · 167 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	26c	1,117$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.63	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes	30c	1,009$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.59	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	26c	961$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.86	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No	70c	895.88$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.71	261	46%120 W · 141 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No	70c	892.59$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.78	56	69.6%39 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d2…2f04backed Yes	28c	803.57$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	72c	618.77$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.26	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes	31c	615.87$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.86	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No	75c	606.43$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.56	41	73.2%30 W · 11 L	+11.0wins	+0.27per pick	46cpaid	+78.4%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No	72c	558.27$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.52	202	50%101 W · 101 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No	69c	466.45$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.35	459	47.7%219 W · 240 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No	72c	441.05$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.49	119	51.3%61 W · 58 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	30c	400$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	350	36.3%127 W · 223 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	27c	370.25$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.74	465	36.1%168 W · 297 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	+10.6wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	50%10 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	34c	304.42$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.24	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	76c	302.48$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.04	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac95…5f12backed No	74c	301.4$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.4	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-35%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c94…2c0dbacked Yes	33c	300.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No	72c	300$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes	34c	296.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Yes	27c	275.1$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.63	233	55.4%129 W · 104 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed No	75c	274.88$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.33	166	59.6%99 W · 67 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No	75c	243$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.97	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes	31c	222.58$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	226	52.7%119 W · 107 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	23c	221.78$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.68	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No	73c	219.59$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.59	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	72cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes	31c	203.03$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	21c	201.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.42	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed No	73c	174$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.21	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No	67c	172.42$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.89	163	41.1%67 W · 96 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No	73c	167$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.09	173	38.2%66 W · 107 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes	34c	149.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	27c	144.83$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.39	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	28c	143.17$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.09	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes	28c	140$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No	70c	120.6$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.18	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes	28c	116.17$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	161	16.8%27 W · 134 L	-16.9wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No	73c	116$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.32	46	78.3%36 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	74cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes	28c	107.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes	28c	105.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	154	48.1%74 W · 80 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes	13c	102$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	281	48.4%136 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	214	44.9%96 W · 118 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No	75c	95.82$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.15	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945c…a489backed Yes	29c	92.76$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f57…503dbacked Yes	33c	91.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes	28c	89.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.06	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	28c	85.06$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Yes	28c	84.82$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9d…1e4bbacked Yes	28c	77.46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.69	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	72c	76$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.28	550	45.1%248 W · 302 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Yes	28c	68.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb8…c74dbacked Yes	29c	65.69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes	28c	64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	255	54.5%139 W · 116 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes	28c	63.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.88	508	50%254 W · 254 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes	35c	63.69$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed No	79c	63.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes	17c	63.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	287	54.7%157 W · 130 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No	68c	58.23$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.71	450	39.6%178 W · 272 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed No	68c	55.64$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.63	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked No	75c	53.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No	71c	52.76$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	368	50.3%185 W · 183 L	+9.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	72c	42$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Yes	28c	41.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.69	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No	72c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	72c	39.98$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes	32c	37.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…7f34backed Yes	31c	35.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No	72c	33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Yes	35c	30.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	163	43.6%71 W · 92 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed No	78c	29.52$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.49	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.6wins	+0.28per pick	49cpaid	+78.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked No	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	72	73.6%53 W · 19 L	+6.2wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No	75c	25.67$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.42	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked No	75c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	60	55%33 W · 27 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No	72c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	108	63.9%69 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No	74c	19.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.18	215	65.1%140 W · 75 L	+16.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed No	76c	18.32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	159	50.9%81 W · 78 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed No	72c	17.39$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.87	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94c3…140cbacked No	73c	16.12$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.35	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe94…b9cdbacked No	70c	15.21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed No	73c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.05	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	75cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked No	72c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	59	72.9%43 W · 16 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Colombia vs. Croatia end in a draw?this page
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-26?No won
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-26?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Colombia vs. Croatia end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event