MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f690ed4ad57cc08fd7e00b56032d02119549ae379da44bbbaa33cd7879b7f27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed SSG Landers | 38c | 3,161$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.07 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…df12backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 3,042$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.04 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 12c | 1,121$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SSG Landers | 43c | 890$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.7 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 771.36$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.78 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 419.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 41c | 300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 268.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SSG Landers | 45c | 249.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 42c | 170.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 163.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked SSG Landers | 9c | 147$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 129.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 126.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 45c | 109.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed SSG Landers | 40c | 108.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 103.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked SSG Landers | 38c | 88.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed SSG Landers | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 41c | 72.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 64.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 62.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked SSG Landers | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed SSG Landers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked SSG Landers | 43c | 44.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed SSG Landers | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 41c | 42.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed SSG Landers | 38c | 31.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed SSG Landers | 39c | 30.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed SSG Landers | 39c | 25.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.