CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe9ae6119640d1cb2b20f2e4af9c7ee1f53ae43e680d594176de855452f865c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,932 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 55c | 6,769$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 43c | 5,044$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.93 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 51c | 2,734$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.28 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 55c | 1,751$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.26 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 66c | 956.21$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.52 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Over | 64c | 952.31$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.05 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Over | 44c | 715.91$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 603.33$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Over | 59c | 509.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 39c | 409.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.48 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 64c | 383.76$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 44c | 211.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 146.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 64c | 116.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 54c | 80.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 65c | 69.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 40c | 59.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Under | 61c | 57.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Under | 60c | 55.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Over | 44c | 52.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 56c | 49.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 56c | 47.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 38c | 40.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 50c | 38.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Over | 44c | 31.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…59b1backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…e379backed Under | 61c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Over | 55c | 21.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Under | 66c | 20.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 23DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.