CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258521073168f1295f5b3cde3562d52381fb6dd5b34bf8e83659161bdf3af63a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof FURIA, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,725 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 34c | 3,077$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.65 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed 3DMAX | 67c | 2,968$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.99 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed 3DMAX | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed 3DMAX | 51c | 1,048$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.65 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX | 47c | 671.25$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.76 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked 3DMAX | 47c | 583.84$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.21 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed FURIA | 53c | 570.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed FURIA | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed FURIA | 53c | 377.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed FURIA | 52c | 310$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…1b21backed FURIA | 26c | 253.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 3DMAX | 64c | 249.78$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked FURIA | 52c | 215.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 201.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 194.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 190.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed FURIA | 47c | 155.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed 3DMAX | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 629 | 38.3%241 W · 388 L | -17.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FURIA | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed FURIA | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed FURIA | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 41.1%58 W · 83 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed FURIA | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked 3DMAX | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed 3DMAX | 55c | 53.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…d1e3backed FURIA | 38c | 52.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed 3DMAX | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA | 51c | 44.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed FURIA | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed 3DMAX | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed FURIA | 53c | 37.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed FURIA | 47c | 35.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed FURIA | 43c | 34.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed 3DMAX | 55c | 31.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed FURIA | 35c | 29.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…49e5backed FURIA | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed 3DMAX | 55c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed 3DMAX | 55c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed 3DMAX | 55c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed 3DMAX | 55c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…a2e1backed FURIA | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 313 | 39.6%124 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 23DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.