NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9044bcaa277f1c5ff2b94fdb385dd3cb3a583248442a81ce0ce4715429914467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Blackhawks, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks | 0c | 4,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…f9a9backed Golden Knights | 78c | 4,048$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Blackhawks | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Blackhawks | 21c | 2,206$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.3 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Golden Knights | 77c | 2,004$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…6ff2backed Blackhawks | 23c | 1,719$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 77c | 1,148$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…0c64backed Golden Knights | 78c | 1,050$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Golden Knights | 78c | 1,001$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Blackhawks | 22c | 999.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Blackhawks | 2c | 733.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks | 22c | 705$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.15 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blackhawks | 23c | 690$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Golden Knights | 79c | 476$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…0d74backed Blackhawks | 23c | 430.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Blackhawks | 22c | 401.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcc…4b05backed Golden Knights | 78c | 366.24$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…04a7backed Blackhawks | 23c | 256.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Golden Knights | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Blackhawks | 8c | 209.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Golden Knights | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks | 18c | 188.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Blackhawks | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…82f4backed Blackhawks | 13c | 130.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Golden Knights | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50b…2009backed Golden Knights | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8332…11f1backed Golden Knights | 78c | 103$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…724dbacked Blackhawks | 22c | 103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Golden Knights | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…7745backed Blackhawks | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Golden Knights | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Blackhawks | 17c | 98.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…83a2backed Golden Knights | 78c | 98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…91c4backed Golden Knights | 78c | 82.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…3075backed Blackhawks | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ad…3055backed Blackhawks | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…ac23backed Golden Knights | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights | 78c | 74.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…78c1backed Blackhawks | 22c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…9f51backed Blackhawks | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights | 79c | 61.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blackhawks | 23c | 51.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…34bfbacked Blackhawks | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Blackhawks | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…d60bbacked Blackhawks | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…2964backed Golden Knights | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…e7b7backed Golden Knights | 78c | 41.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4546backed Golden Knights | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Golden Knights | 78c | 31.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Golden Knights | 79c | 25.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…d4d2backed Golden Knights | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…ae80backed Golden Knights | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9e…7f44backed Golden Knights | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Golden Knights | 78c | 19.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5c…f493backed Golden Knights | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Golden Knights | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Golden Knights | 79c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Golden Knights | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.