Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Struff vs Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x909e1b9d54a39f7e2a3df3cc6255097b955e9a5132d805a45ce4cc38aca2c1f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Struffof Struff, Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd050…c915backed Struff | 36c | 778.54$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.48 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Medvedev | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Medvedev | 42c | 409.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.97 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Struff | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Struff | 36c | 260.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…5792backed Medvedev | 67c | 210.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Medvedev | 65c | 202$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Struff | 35c | 202$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Struff | 42c | 183.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Medvedev | 63c | 124.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Medvedev | 60c | 100.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Medvedev | 68c | 90.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Struff | 29c | 61.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Struff | 30c | 59.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Struff | 43c | 46.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Medvedev | 65c | 44.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Medvedev | 67c | 34.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Medvedev | 62c | 24.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Medvedev | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e2…c81fbacked Medvedev | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Medvedev | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Medvedev | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Struff vs Medvedevthis page
- Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Struff vs MedvedevStruff won
- Set 3 Winner: Struff vs MedvedevStruff won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5)Struff won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)Struff won
- Struff vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Struff vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Daniil MedvedevJan-Lennard Struff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.