Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90c11eafda8eb4b9db97cb506166833f6fd75b094058114100ce71ba6b111202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Amaru Gaming, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 3,175$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.12 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2163backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 2,239$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…136abacked Amaru Gaming | 35c | 1,582$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…bd22backed Power Rangers | 71c | 1,231$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.97 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Amaru Gaming | 37c | 1,192$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.66 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Amaru Gaming | 31c | 954.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…142dbacked Power Rangers | 64c | 770.09$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Power Rangers | 69c | 767.8$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.02 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Power Rangers | 72c | 699.97$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Amaru Gaming | 35c | 602.01$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.19 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed Amaru Gaming | 31c | 484.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Power Rangers | 64c | 472.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.21 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Power Rangers | 64c | 330$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 218.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 209.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Power Rangers | 62c | 184$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 69c | 181.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amaru Gaming | 16c | 179.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 178.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…97c1backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 119.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 105.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Power Rangers | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Amaru Gaming | 30c | 82.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…5c21backed Amaru Gaming | 30c | 73.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Amaru Gaming | 24c | 71.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…95ebbacked Amaru Gaming | 39c | 67.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Power Rangers | 61c | 59.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Power Rangers | 70c | 57.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed Amaru Gaming | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30c5…8511backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Power Rangers | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Power Rangers | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…5658backed Power Rangers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Power Rangers | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Power Rangers | 66c | 17.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Power Rangers | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group APower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5)Power Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.