Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21f5c33b5aca91721ac799a929cb49f0f0f88b3a383f67a13cf360a6df5af48d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Amaru Gaming, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Amaru Gaming | 33c | 1,064$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Amaru Gaming | 15c | 527.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 274.67$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…668ebacked Amaru Gaming | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Amaru Gaming | 11c | 249.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…8c88backed Amaru Gaming | 5c | 237$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Amaru Gaming | 15c | 233.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 212.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Power Rangers | 78c | 203.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Amaru Gaming | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Amaru Gaming | 22c | 183.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Amaru Gaming | 14c | 143.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Amaru Gaming | 34c | 118.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Power Rangers | 68c | 114.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Power Rangers | 66c | 91.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Amaru Gaming | 27c | 69.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Amaru Gaming | 26c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers | 70c | 22.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5)Power Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.